Spatiotemporal Impact of Artisanal and Small-Scale Mining Activity on Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics in Du, Jos South, Nigeria
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47514/kjg.2026.08.01.034Keywords:
Land Use Land Cover, Artisanal and Small-scale Mining, Random Forest Classification, Nearest Neighbor Analysis, Spatiotemporal AnalysisAbstract
Artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) is a primary driver of spatiotemporal land use/land cover (LULC) change in Sub-Saharan Africa, yet longitudinal multi-temporal mapping at the community scale remains limited. This study quantifies 15-year (2010–2025) LULC dynamics and the spatial distribution of ASM activities in Du Area, Jos South, Plateau State, using Landsat 7 ETM (2010 at 30 m) and Sentinel-2 MSI (2015, 2020, and 2025 at 10 m) imagery. A random forest supervised classifier in the Semi-Automatic Classification Plugin (SCP) v8.5.0 was used with eight classes: water bodies, abandoned mining pits, natural vegetation, irrigated cropland, bare cropland, built-up areas, and bare soil, while the nearest neighbour analysis was used to determine the spatial distribution. The MOLUSCE plugin was used to generate a complete 8×8 transition matrix across all 64 class land cover classes, including active ASM. Results reveal that active ASM expanded 348.01% from 107.76 ha (2010) to 482.76 ha (2025), with the most significant growth between 2015 and 2020 (+300.84 ha, +220.7%). Irrigated cropland declined 62.7% (326.24 ha), the built-up area contracted 28.2% (545.40 ha), bare soil was depleted 84.3% (396.72 ha), and 86.20 ha of water-filled legacy pits persist as an unclaimed public health hazard. NNA confirmed strong and consistent ASM clustering across all four periods (2025: NNI = 0.6519, z = −34.20, p < 0.001; observed mean inter-site distance 72.22 m). The study reveals that Du is undergoing intensifying spatial environmental degradation driven by unregulated ASM expansion.
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