Resilience Pathways in Flood-Prone Hadejia River Using Relative Importance Index Approach for Targeted Mitigation Strategies
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47514/kjg.2025.07.01.010Keywords:
Flood risk, Land Use Land Cover, ResilienceAbstract
Floods are among the most devastating consequences of global warming and can cause unprecedented disruptions in the operations of contemporary communities. Despite global efforts to increase flood resilience, the local pathways driving increasing flood risk in the Hadejia River remain poorly quantified, hindering the development of effective, targeted mitigation strategies. This study addresses this critical knowledge gap by identifying and prioritizing the key physical and socioeconomic drivers of flood risk in the Hadejia River, Jigawa State, Nigeria. The study employed a field reconnaissance survey, which utilized a structured questionnaire as the primary instrument, to collect baseline data from a sample of 400 households across flood-prone communities between August 2023 and January 2024. The collected data were analysed via the relative importance index (RII) technique to objectively rank the significance of the identified flood drivers. The results indicate that riverbed siltation (RII=0.87) is the most significant factor influencing flood risk, followed closely by steep side channels (RII=0.86) and prolonged periods of rainfall (RII=0.86). Other critical contributors include a high number of tributaries discharging into the main river (RII=0.84), urbanization (RII=0.82), and the presence of Typha grass and water weeds (RII=0.82). However, the analysis confirmed that socioeconomic factors, such as land use changes, river diversion, and urban expansion, significantly influence the flood vulnerability of the basin. These findings provide a clear, evidence-based prioritization of flood pathways, highlighting the urgent need for targeted interventions, specifically desilting and channel management, to increase flood resilience, improve infrastructure, and support community adaptation strategies in the Hadejia River Basin.
References
Adefolalu, F. S., Apeh, D. O., Salubuyi, S. B., Galadima, M., Agbo, A., Anthony, M. O., & Makun, H. A. (2022). Quantitative Appraisal of Total Aflatoxin in Ready-to-eat Groundnut in North-central Nigeria. Journal of Chemical Health Risks, 12(1).
Adelekan, I. O., & Asiyanbi, A. P. (2016). Flood risk perception in flood-affected communities in Lagos, Nigeria. Natural Hazards, 80, 445-469.
Aderogba, K. A. (2012). Qualitative studies of recent floods and sustainable growth and development of cities and towns in Nigeria. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 1(3), 1-25.
Ahmad, E. F., Zin, I. N. M., & Alauddin, K. (2024). Relative Importance Index for Infrastructure Resilience Components for Flood-Prone Areas in Kelantan. International Journal of Academic Research In Business and Social Sciences. Vol 14, Issue 7, (2024) E-ISSN: 2222-6990
Almouctar, M. A. S., Wu, Y., An, S., Yin, X., Qin, C., Zhao, F., & Qiu, L. (2024). Flood risk assessment in arid and semi-arid regions using Multi-criteria approaches and remote sensing in a data-scarce region. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 54, 101862.
Awu, J. I., Mbajiorgu, C. C., Ogunlela, A. O., Kasali, M. Y., Ademiluyi, Y. S., & James, D. D. (2017). Open Access Online Journal of the International Association for Environmental Hydrology. OPTIMIZATION, 25.
Ayantobo, O. O., Wei, J., & Wang, G. (2022). Climatology of landfalling atmospheric rivers and its attribution to extreme precipitation events over Yangtze River Basin. Atmospheric Research, 270, 106077.
Ayoade, J. O. (1983). Water Resources in Oguntoyinbo, JS, Areola, OO and Filani, M.(ed.) A Geography of Nigerian Development.
Babati, A. H., Abdussalam, A. F., Baba, S. U., & Isa, Z. (2022). Prediction of flood occurrences and magnitude in Hadejia-Jama’are river basin, Nigeria. Sustainable Water Resources Management, 8(6), 188.
Buma, W. G., Lee, S. I., & Seo, J. Y. (2016). Hydrological evaluation of Lake Chad basin using space borne and hydrological model observations. Water, 8(5), 205.
Buontempo, C. (2018). European climate services. In Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry (pp. 27-40). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
Buontempo, S., D'auria, L., De Lellis, G., Festa, G., Gasparini, P., Iacobucci, G., ... & Zollo, A. (2010). Perspectives for the radiography of Mt. Vesuvius by cosmic ray muons. Earth, planets and space, 62, 131-137.
Chukwuma, E. C., Okonkwo, C. C., Ojediran, J. O., Anizoba, D. C., Ubah, J. I., & Nwachukwu, C. P. (2021). A GIS based flood vulnerability modelling of Anambra State using an integrated IVFRN-DEMATEL-ANP model. Heliyon, 7(9).
Danumah, J. H., Odai, S. N., Saley, B. M., Szarzynski, J., Thiel, M., Kwaku, A., ... & Akpa, L. Y. (2016). Flood risk assessment and mapping in Abidjan district using multi-criteria analysis (AHP) model and geoinformation techniques,(cote d’ivoire). Geoenvironmental Disasters, 3, 1-13.
Ejieji, C. N., & Akinsunmade, A. E. (2020). Allocation of agricultural land for optimal crop pattern using hybrid flower pollination-dragonfly method. Ilorin Journal of Science, 7(1), 1-22.
Eli, H. D., & Bariweni, P. A. (2020). Effects of Seasonal Characteristics of Kolo Creek Flooding on Farm-Plot Sizes in Central Niger Delta, Nigeria. Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management, 24(5), 857-862.
Erena, S. H., & Worku, H. (2018). Flood risk analysis: causes and landscape based mitigation strategies in Dire Dawa city, Ethiopia. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 5, 1-19.
Gündüz, M., Nielsen, Y., & Özdemir, M. (2013). Quantification of delay factors using the relative importance index method for construction projects in Turkey. Journal of management in engineering, 29(2), 133-139.
Hirabayashi, Y., Mahendran, R., Koirala, S., Konoshima, L., Yamazaki, D., Watanabe, S., ... & Kanae, S. (2013). Global flood risk under climate change. Nature climate change, 3(9), 816-821.
Ibrahim, A. H., & Abdullahi, S. Z. (2016). Flood menace in Kaduna Metropolis: impacts remedial and management strategies. Science World Journal, 11(2), 16-22.
Ibrahim, U. A., Dan’azumi, S., Bdliya, H. H., Bunu, Z., & Chiroma, M. J. (2022). Comparison of WEAP and SWAT models for streamflow prediction in the Hadejia-Nguru Wetlands, Nigeria. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 8(4), 4997-5010.
Ibrahim, U. A., Yadima, S. G., & Nur Alkali, A. (2016). Flood Frequency Analysis at Hadejia River in Hadejia–Jama’are River Basin, Nigeria. Civil and Engineering Research, 8(9), 2225-0514.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Climate change 2023: The physical science basis. Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch
IPCC, (2012). In: Field, C.B., Barros, V., Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Dokken, D.J., Ebi, K.L., Mastrandrea, M.D., Mach, K.J. (Eds.), Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 582 pp
Javadinejad, S. (2022). Causes and consequences of floods: flash floods, urban floods, river floods and coastal floods. Resources Environment and Information Engineering, 4(1), 173-183.
Kheradmand, S., Seidou, O., Konte, D., & Batoure, M. B. B. (2018). Evaluation of adaptation options to flood risk in a probabilistic framework. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 19, 1-16.
Kundzewicz, Z. W., Hegger, D. L. T., Matczak, P., & Driessen, P. P. J. (2018). Flood-risk reduction: Structural measures and diverse strategies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(49), 12321-12325.
Kura, N. U., Usman, S. U., & Khalil, M. S. (2023). Flood Vulnerability Assessment of a Semi-Arid Region: A Case Study of Dutse in Jigawa State, Nigeria. Journal of Environmental Issues and Climate Change, 2(1), 20-29.
Mahmood, S., & Rani, R. (2022). People-centric geo-spatial exposure and damage assessment of 2014 flood in lower Chenab Basin, upper Indus Plain in Pakistan. Natural Hazards, 111(3), 3053-3069.
Nasidi, N. M., Shanono, N. J., Inuwa, A. Y., Zakari, M. D., Ibrahim, A., & Yahya, M. N. (2023). An Appraisal on Hydro-Climatic Impact on Flash Floods Incidences at Hadejia River Valley Watershed in Nigeria. FUDMA Journal of Sciences, 7(5), 134-140.
Nasidi, N. M., Shanono, N. J., Inuwa, A. Y., Zakari, M. D., Ibrahim, A., & Yahya, M. N. (2023). An appraisal on hydro-climatic impact on flash floods incidences at Hadejia River Valley watershed in Nigeria. FUDMA Journal of Sciences, 7(5), 134-140.
Nicholson, S. E. (2017). Climate and climatic variability of rainfall over eastern Africa. Reviews of Geophysics, 55(3), 590-635.
NPC, (2006). Estimated Population Figures National Population Commission of Nigeria, Abuja. Retrieved on March 6, 2015 from www.population.gov.ng
Nwilo, P. C., Olayinka, D. N., & Adzandeh, A. E. (2012). Flood modelling and vulnerability assessment of settlements in the Adamawa state floodplain using GIS and cellular framework approach. Global Journal of Human Social Science, 12(3), 11-20.
Nyong, A. P., Ngankam, T. M., & Felicite, T. L. (2020). Enhancement of resilience to climate variability and change through agroforestry practices in smallholder farming systems in Cameroon. Agroforestry Systems, 94, 687-705.
Odewole, B. A., Yusuf, A. Y., Ibrahim, S. O., & Jibrin, G. (2020). Earth observation-based damage assessment of 2018 flood in Parts of Hadejia-Jama’are River Basin, Nigeria. International Journal of Environment and Climate Change, 10(2), 34-44.
Ojoye, S., Yahaya, T. I., Odekunle, M. O., & Sulyman, A. O. (2016). Rainfall Variability: Implications for Flood Frequency in Sokoto, North-Western Nigeria. AIMS.
Ojoye, S., Yahaya, T. I., Odekunle, M. O., & Sulyman, A. O. (2016). Rainfall Variability: Implications for Flood Frequency in Sokoto, North-Western Nigeria. AIMS.
Ologunorisa, T. E., Obioma, O., & Eludoyin, A. O. (2022). Urban flood event and associated damage in the Benue valley, Nigeria. Natural Hazards, 111(1), 261-282.
Radwan, F., Alazba, A. A., & Mossad, A. (2019). Flood risk assessment and mapping using AHP in arid and semiarid regions. Acta Geophysica, 67, 215-229.
Shanono, N. J., Attanda, M. L., Nasidi, N. M., MD, Z., Ibrahim, A., Yahya, M. N., ... & Umar, S. I. (2023). Effect of Reservoir Utilization and Other Anthropogenic Activities on the Hadejia River Valley Floods: A Review. FUDMA Journal of Sciences, 7(5), 125-133.
Sharma, T. P. P., Zhang, J., Koju, U. A., Zhang, S., Bai, Y., & Suwal, M. K. (2019). Review of flood disaster studies in Nepal: A remote sensing perspective. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 34, 18-27.
Shuaibu, A., Hounkpè, J., Bossa, Y. A., & Kalin, R. M. (2022). Flood risk assessment and mapping in the Hadejia River Basin, Nigeria, using a hydro-geomorphic approach and multi-criterion decision-making method. Water, 14(22), 3709
Smith, J. A., Baeck, M. L., Morrison, J. E., & Sturdevant-Rees, P. (2000). Catastrophic rainfall and flooding in Texas. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1(1), 5-25.
Tudunwada, I. Y., & Abbas, A. (2022). Flood vulnerability mapping and prediction for early warning in Jigawa State, Northern Nigeria, using geospatial techniques. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 79, 103156.
Umar, A. S., & Ankidawa, B. A. (2016). Climate variability and basin management: a threat to and from wetlands of Komadugu Yobe Basin, North Eastern Nigeria. Asian Journal of Engineering and Technology, 4(2).
Umar, D. U. A., Ramli, M. F., Aris, A. Z., Jamil, N., & Tukur, A. I. (2019). Surface water resources management along Hadejia River Basin, northwestern Nigeria. h2oj, 2(1), 184-199.
Wilby, R. L., & Keenan, R. (2012). Adapting to flood risk under climate change. Progress in physical geography, 36(3), 348-378.
Yahaya, S., Ahmad, N., & Abdalla, R. F. (2010). Multicriteria analysis for flood vulnerable areas in Hadejia-Jama’are River basin, Nigeria. European Journal of Scientific Research, 42(1), 71-83.
Zhao, T., Zhao, J., Lei, X., Wang, X., & Wu, B. (2017). Improved dynamic programming for reservoir flood control operation. Water Resources Management, 31, 2047-2063.
Downloads
Published
Data Availability Statement
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Muhammad Hadi Ahmad, Dr. M. T. Murtala, Dr. A. Balarabe, Muktar Ahmad (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.