Assessment of Urban Expansion in Parts of Kaduna Metropolis and Its Driving Factors
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47514/kjg.2025.07.01.022Keywords:
Urban, Expansion, KadunaAbstract
Rapid urban expansion has continued to pose challenges to people living in urban areas. This study assessed the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use and land cover (LULC) and the extent of urban expansion in Kaduna Metropolis, Nigeria, over the period 2004–2024. Multitemporal Landsat satellite imagery from Landsat 7 (2004) and Landsat 8 (2014 and 2024) was obtained from the United States Geological Survey and classified using the Decision Tree method into five LULC classes: built-up areas, vegetation, grasses, bare land, and water bodies. Quantitative analysis was conducted to assess the area, magnitude, and rate of LULC changes, while qualitative Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) were analyzed to identify factors contributing to urban expansion. The results of the study reveal a substantial increase in built-up areas from 95.5 km2 (5.2%) in 2004 to 435.7 km2 (23.7%) in 2024, reflecting rapid urbanization. Bare land decreased sharply between 2004 and 2014 but partially recovered by 2024, while vegetation exhibited marked expansion from 2004 to 2014, followed by a decline in 2024. Grasses remained relatively stable, and water bodies showed minimal variation, indicating limited hydrological changes. The result highlights significant conversion of non-built-up areas to urban land, indicating accelerated urban expansion over the two decades. The study provides critical insights for urban planning and sustainable land management in rapidly urbanizing Nigerian cities.
References
Abdussalam, A. F. (2015). Changes in Indices of Daily Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in Northwest Nigeria. Science World Journal, 10(2), 18–26.
Abubakar, M. L., Mohammed, S., & Rilwanu, T. Y. (2025). Assessing Drivers of Habitat Quality Changes in the Niger River Basin, Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Forestry, 44(6),267-288. https://doi.org/10.1080/10549811.2025.2516071
Abubakar, M. L., & Abdussalam, A. F. (2024). Geospatial analysis of land use changes and wetland dynamics in Kaduna Metropolis, Kaduna, Nigeria. Science World Journal, 19(3), 687–696. https://doi.org/10.4314/swj.v19i3.15
Abubakar, M. L., Abdussalam, A. F., Ahmed, M. S., & Wada, A. I. (2024). Spatiotemporal variability of rainfall and drought characterization in Kaduna, Nigeria. Discover Environment, 2(1), 72. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44274-024-00112-7
Adamu, A. U., Abdulsalam, A. F., & Baba, S. U. (2024). Influence of settlement pattern on inter-religious and inter-cultural harmony in Kaduna metropolis. Science World Journal, 20(1), 302-309. https://doi.org/10.4314/swj.v20i1.41
Akpu, B., Tanko, A., Jeb, D., & Dogo, B. (2017). Geospatial Analysis of Urban Expansion and Its Impact on Vegetation Cover in Kaduna Metropolis, Nigeria. Asian Journal of Environment & Ecology, 3(2), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajee/2017/31149
Bennett, J. G., Rains, A. B., Gosden, P. N., Howard, W. J., Hutcheon, A. A., Kerr, W. B., Mansfield, J. E., Rackham, L. J., & Wood, A. W. (1979). Land resources of central Nigeria: Agricultural Development Possibilities: The Jema’a Platform, 3B.
Bununu, Y. A., Ludin, A. N. M., & Hosni, N. (2015). City profile: Kaduna. Cities, 49, 53–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2015.07.004
Fattah, M. A., Morshed, S. R., & Kafy, A.-A. (2022). Insights into the socio-economic impacts of traffic congestion in the port and industrial areas of Chittagong city, Bangladesh. Transportation Engineering, 9, 100122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.treng.2022.100122
Haydar, M., Hosan, S., & Rafi, A. H. (2025). Assessment of urban expansion susceptibility in major urban units of Bangladesh leveraging machine learning and geostatistical approach. Journal of Urban Management, 14(2), 451–467. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jum.2024.11.011
Kim, M., Kim, D., & Kim, G. (2022). Examining the Relationship between Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) Models: A Case Study of Seoul, South Korea. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(23), 15926. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192315926
Koko, A. F., Yue, W., Abubakar, G. A., Alabsi, A. A., & Hamed, R. (2021). Spatiotemporal Influence of Land Use/Land Cover Change Dynamics on Surface Urban Heat Island: A Case Study of Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 10(5), 272. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10050272
Mande, H. K., Olaniyi, A. O., Richard, M., Sule, B., & Abasha, D. (2023). Change in Land Use/Land Cover Using Remotely Sensed Images in Kafanchan Area of Kaduna State, Nigeria. FUDMA Journal of Sciences, 7(6), 227–233. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2023-0706-2120
Muhammad, R. Z., & Abubakar, M. L. (2025). Assessing the influence of land surface temperature and sociodemographic factors on measles prevalence using AutoML and SHAP in Kaduna North, Nigeria. GeoJournal, 90(3), 103. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-025-11361-1
Musa, K., & Abubakar, M. L. (2024). Monitoring urban growth and landscape fragmentation in Kaduna, Nigeria, using remote sensing approach. Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management, 12(1), 6757–6769. https://doi.org/10.15243/jdmlm.2024.121.6757
National Population Commission (NPC). (2006). Priority Tables for 2006 Population and Housing Census, population census data.
Ndabula, C., Averik, P. D., Jidauna, G. G., Abaje, I., Oyatayo, T. K., & Iguisi, E. O. (2013). Analysis of the Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Landuse/ Landcover Stuctures in the Kaduna Innercore City Region, Nigeria. American Journal of Environmental Protection, 1(4), 112–119. https://doi.org/10.12691/env-1-4-7
Ndabula, C., Jidauna, G. G., Oyatayo, K., Averik, P. D., & Iguisi, E. O. (2012). Analysis of Urban Floodplain Encroachment: Strategic Approach to Flood and Floodplain Management in Kaduna Metropolis, Nigeria. Journal of Geography and Geology, 4(1), 170–182. https://doi.org/10.5539/jgg.v4n1p170
Ogunbode, T. O., Oyebamiji, V. O., Sanni, D. O., Akinwale, E. O., & Akinluyi, F. O. (2025). Environmental impacts of urban growth and land use changes in tropical cities. Frontiers in Sustainable Cities, 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/frsc.2024.1481932
Oyalowo, B. (2022). Implications of urban expansion: land, planning and housing in Lagos. Buildings & Cities, 3(1), 692–708. https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.243
Saleh, Y. (2015). Kaduna: Physical and Human Environment. Shanono Printers and Publishers.
Saleh, Y., Badr, A. M., Banna, F. El, & Shahata, A. (2014). Agricultural Land-Use Change and Disappearance of Farmlands in Kaduna Metropolis, Nigeria. Science World Journal, 9(1), 1–7.
Shukla, S., Meshesha, T. W., Sen, I. S., Bol, R., Bogena, H., & Wang, J. (2023). Assessing Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) Change on Stream Flow and Runoff in Rur Basin, Germany. Sustainability, 15(12), 9811. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15129811
Tanko, A. S., Babangida, N. M., & Dogo, B. (2025). Assessment of the Impact of Urban Renewal Programme on The Livelihood Systems in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Kaduna Journal of Geography, 7(1), 77–86. https://doi.org/10.47514/kjg.2025.07.01.009
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Ja’afar Abdullahi, Tanko, A.S., Ibrahim Samaila (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.